Urban Mobility Ecosystem
The growing demand for mobility is driving its development globally. Below are the key trends:
Shift Away from Private Cars
In the next 10-20 years, the use of personal vehicles will likely become the exception rather than the norm. Although the pandemic temporarily slowed this trend, it is expected to regain momentum within the next five years.
Multimodality
The primary goal is not the mode of transport itself but rather getting from point A to point B in the quickest, cheapest, and most comfortable way possible. This concept is embodied in the Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS) model, which offers comprehensive solutions for all transportation needs, providing users with optimized routes based on their plans and preferences.
Super Mobility Apps
These apps allow users to plan their routes to destinations using various modes of transportation. Access to different modalities and payment options are seamlessly integrated, leaving users to simply choose the most convenient route.
Autonomous Transport
Autonomous transport will continue to attract attention, though the timelines for its widespread adoption on city streets are often exaggerated. Autonomous rail systems like trams or metros and machinery operating in areas with less complex traffic conditions are just a few years away. The next step will be autonomous freight transport, and there are already promising examples in this field. Currently, trucks operate autonomously on highways, with a human driver taking control in urban areas. For fully autonomous operation, dedicated lanes on roads will be necessary.
Passenger transport presents more significant legal and technological challenges, and the readiness for this is far from what some entrepreneurs in the sector might suggest to investors. While it is likely that all cars will be autonomous in 100 years, the expectation that this will happen by 2030 is unlikely to be realized.
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